Framework · 3 notes · discussed by Archie Abrams, Timothy Davis, Yuriy Timen

Incrementality Testing

Every note in the archive that names Incrementality Testing: summaries, key takeaways and links to the original essays, episodes and posts. Ask a question below to get a cited answer from just these notes’ authors.

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Lenny’s Podcast94 min

Breaking the rules of growth: Why Shopify bans KPIs, optimizes for churn, prioritizes intuition, and builds toward a 100-year vision

Archie Abrams · Nov 7, 2024
Key learnings
  • Optimize for the absolute number of people reaching each funnel stage, not local conversion rates, since rate-chasing teams often…
  • Judge growth by the total long-term value of a merchant cohort (cumulative GMV over several years) rather than per-merchant or…
  • Keep long-term holdouts and revisit experiments at 3, 6, 12, and 24 months, because many short-term wins fade and some neutral…
Lenny’s Podcast74 min

How to grow a subscription business

Yuriy Timen · Sep 1, 2022
Key learnings
  • Give every channel a real test before judging it; many teams wrongly conclude YouTube or other tactics don't work because they…
  • Virality works best when the product has inherent network effects, where utility grows with more users, rather than trying to…
  • Treat SEO as a 3-month time-boxed experiment, favoring angles with a unique editorial, programmatic, or data advantage, and buy a…
Lenny’s Podcast124 min

The ultimate guide to performance marketing

Timothy Davis · Jul 28, 2024
Key learnings
  • Paid acquisition suits most businesses because paid search is user-driven, so start by checking where users already find you and…
  • Run small signs-of-life tests first, starting with your own customer data for lookalike audiences at a 1% match, before…
  • Don't copy winning creative across platforms; user mindset and behavior differ, so adapt messaging for each platform.